Weekly Local weather and Vitality Information Roundup #492

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The Week That Was: 2022-02-19 (February 19, 2022)
Dropped at You by SEPP (www.SEPP.org)
The Science and Environmental Coverage Undertaking

Quote of the Week: “In God we belief, all others deliver knowledge.” – Motto of The Proper Local weather Stuff Workforce.

in article 1

Variety of the Week: $1289/kWh v. $0.1059/kWh

THIS WEEK:

By Ken Haapala, President, Science and Environmental Coverage Undertaking (SEPP)

Scope: Utilizing the numbers printed by the UN Intergovernmental Panel on Local weather Change (IPCC), Physicist Howard Hayden, a SEPP director, continues to develop a fairly easy mannequin explaining the utmost higher sure that rising greenhouse gases, particularly carbon dioxide, would trigger if they’re doubled. This TWTW describes one other step within the course of. The papers shall be posted on the SEPP web site inside three weeks. Utilizing a unique method, the Proper Local weather Stuff Workforce of Apollo veterans used an higher sure evaluation. It as a rigorous a sort of scientific evaluation as that which bought the US to the moon.

Borrowing from Hollywood publicity, the UN has begun a propaganda blitz for its upcoming, politically negotiated, last Abstract for Policymakers of its Sixth Evaluation Report (AR6, 2021 & 2022). It guarantees horrors so excessive that they don’t know what they’re, but.

Maintaining with the tall tales, NOAA launched a report on sea degree rise alongside the Atlantic coast. This was rapidly demolished by information, a quaint idea that elements of NOAA have deserted. Additionally mentioned are additional revaluations of manipulation of the European temperature file, supposedly stored in security by NOAA. The Journal Environment printed a paper by a bunch of impartial scientists, together with SEPP director Willie Quickly, who uncovered unjustified manipulation of temperature data entrusted to NOAA. This manipulated floor knowledge is utilized by local weather modelers on the Nationwide Heart for Atmospheric Analysis (NCAR) and the ill-named NASA Goddard Institute for House Research (NASA-GISS).

A paper printed by Nature Local weather Change proclaimed that the US Southwest is experiencing the driest interval in 1,200 years. It will depend on what their definition of interval is.

Matt Ridley has a considerate essay on why the present warming advantages humanity. Sadly, the IPCC and its followers neglect the advantages of warming and carbon dioxide emissions of their makes an attempt to frighten the general public, particularly youngsters.

Lastly, the Biden White Home has come out with a “truth sheet” on industrial vitality use. It’s lengthy on promised subsidies and brief on information.

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A Higher Method, Continued – Equations: The Earth’s local weather system includes two fluids of various viscosity (resistance to alter) interacting with irregular surfaces on a spinning planet erratically heated by the solar. This provides rise to perplexing nonlinear mathematical issues, which contain the Navier-Stokes equation. In over 150 years, there has by no means been an actual resolution, and there’s no proof that an answer is even potential. The Clay Arithmetic Institute known as an answer one of many seven most essential open issues in arithmetic and has supplied $1 million as a Millennium Prize for an answer.

Regardless of having spent tens of hundreds of thousands of {dollars} local weather modeling has stagnated. Based mostly on observations of atmospheric temperatures, the local weather modelers following the IPCC procedures make estimates which can be far too excessive, resulting in false assertions of a local weather disaster. What’s concerned will be known as the climate machine, the advanced movement of the 2 fluids concerned in convection, shifting warmth from the tropics to the polar areas and to area, thereby cooling the Earth.

An additional drawback is the notion utilized by the IPCC and the modelers of an Equilibrium Local weather Sensitivity (ECS). Equilibrium on this case doesn’t imply that the equator and the North Pole are on the identical temperature; ECS refers back to the eventual common temperature of the earth following a doubling of CO2 focus.  Nobody has ever but established an equilibrium local weather on this ever-changing planet. But, as they produce no options to those issues, local weather modelers proceed to extend their claims of what they want the answer to be, whether or not it bears any resemblance to precise information or not.

From the standpoint of astronomy, all planets are in equilibrium within the sense that they take up warmth from the solar and radiate the identical quantity of warmth into area.  The equation known as the Planetary Warmth Steadiness, and it makes use of solely two variables—the Whole Photo voltaic Irradiance and the albedo (reflectivity) of the planet—to inform us that amount of warmth.  Planet Earth absorbs and radiates 239 watts per sq. meter of floor.

The floor of the planet, nonetheless, radiates extra infrared than the planet radiates into area.  The well-established Stefan-Boltzmann radiation legislation tells us that the typical emission from the floor is 398 watts per sq. meter.

The numerical distinction between these two emission values is (in the end) given an emblem G by the IPCC, which additionally assigns the title greenhouse impact.  The ambiance is in the end chargeable for the greenhouse impact, which seems to be 159 watts per sq. meter (utilizing IPCC-approved numbers).

Hayden’s calculation quantities to equating the outgoing IR (floor radiation minus greenhouse impact) to the radiation to area from the Planetary Warmth Steadiness equation to acquire what he calls the Local weather Constraint Equation.  The equation derives solely from the conservation of vitality and is subsequently common.  The equation can not make predictions of future local weather, however any appropriate local weather mannequin should fulfill the equation.

The processes by which the ambiance reduces the infrared from the floor to the quantity that goes to area are very quite a few and really difficult.  Atomic/molecular/optical scientists van Wijngaarden and Happer have calculated the greenhouse by working with a 3rd of 1,000,000 spectral strains of 5 greenhouse gases (together with CO2) and have thereby duplicated spectral measurements created from satellites.  They’ve additionally repeated the calculation for doubled CO2 and located that the rise within the greenhouse impact attributable to that improve is about 3 watts per sq. meter.  (IPCC has lengthy used 3.7 watts per sq. meter.)

For instance, Hayden discusses IPCC’s “most possible” temperature rise attributable to CO2 doubling (the ECS) of 3ºC.  With this temperature rise, the floor should, by the Stefan-Boltzmann legislation, radiate about 16.5 extra watts per sq. meter.  Because the further greenhouse impact attributable to CO2 doubling is simply 3.7 watts per sq. meter (IPCC’s worth), how does the IPCC account for the 12.8 W/m2?  (Spoiler alert:  they don’t.)  If their fashions had been appropriate, some mixture of elevated greenhouse impact from different gases and a lower in albedo (say, by rising the cosmic ray flux as Svensmark suggests) can be required.

IPCC, nonetheless, doesn’t acknowledge their quandary.  They attribute about 80% of the elevated temperature to CO2, and assert that the albedo will improve, somewhat than lower.

A sequence of Hayden’s brief local weather physics papers will quickly be posted on the SEPP web site, and TWTW will talk about them extra absolutely.

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Unknown Horrors: In accordance with stories, bureaucrats representing almost 2 hundred nations had a digital assembly on February 14 to start negotiating the definitive model of UN IPCC’s Abstract for Policymakers of its Sixth Evaluation Report (AR6, SPM). Marlowe Hood of AFP stories:

“Almost 200 nations kick off a digital UN assembly Monday to finalise what is certain to be a harrowing catalogue of local weather change impacts — previous, current and future.”

“An important, 40-page Abstract for Policymakers — distilling underlying chapters totaling hundreds of pages, and reviewed line-by-line — is to be made public on February 28.”

Seth Borenstein and Frank Jordans report:

“Scientists and governments meet to finalise UN report on ‘nightmare’ impacts of worldwide warming.”

What’s scary is the overall incompetence of the information reporters. Unquestioningly they settle for regardless of the IPCC says. But, the bodily proof is constructing that the fashions are improper, and the globe shouldn’t be warming dangerously.

In 1812 the brothers Grimm printed their first quantity of tales, largely from folklore, Youngsters’s and Family Tales, later known as Grimms’ Fairy Tales. Many individuals thought they had been unsuitable for youngsters. However their work impressed Europeans in different cultures to gather tales from their folklore. Maybe the upcoming IPCC Abstract for Policymakers must be thought-about in that mild. See hyperlinks underneath Defending the Orthodoxy

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Selective Seas? NOAA has supplied its personal model of Grimms Fairy Tales with its “2022 Sea Stage Rise Technical Report.” As all too regular, it finds sea degree rise the place land is subsiding, and, surprisingly, the place land shouldn’t be subsiding. One can say that melting ice in Greenland and Antarctica might not trigger sea degree rise, relying on the place one lives. Writing in ICECAP, Joseph D’Aleo explains the thriller:

“Nevertheless, the brand new satellite tv for pc and radar altimeter knowledge lacked the decision to precisely measure sea ranges all the way down to the mm [millimeter] degree. Furthermore, the uncooked knowledge from this know-how additionally conflicted with Alarmists’ claims. Consequently, changes to this knowledge had been additionally made – most notably a Glacial Isostatic Adjustment (GIA). GIA assumes that principally all land is rebounding from way back glaciations and oceanic basins are deepening. The belief is that this rebounding is masking the true sea degree rise. Alarmists proceed to proclaim that their fashions undertaking a fast acceleration of sea degree rise over the following 30 to 70 years, when those self same fashions have did not even come near precisely predicting the previous 25 years.”

Nothing like adjusting knowledge to swimsuit one’s wants. See hyperlinks underneath Altering Seas:

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How Good Is It? In a 2014 debate sponsored by the American Bodily Society, William Collins of the Lawrence Berkeley Nationwide Laboratory and an IPCC modeler acknowledged it was frequent process to regulate (tune) world local weather fashions to floor temperatures, then to discard the changes when making predictions / projections. That is nonsense, however none-the-less it’s completed. Nonetheless, the query of how good the floor temperature file is stays. Tony Heller and others have demonstrated that the US knowledge has been closely manipulated by reducing previous temperatures. There seems to be no clear file of the changes, thus the info are meaningless. The subsequent largest space for which knowledge of affordable density exists is Europe.

The journal Environment simply printed an article describing an investigation by impartial scientists into the European floor temperature knowledge and the outcomes present that the info are poor – unreliable. The summary states:

“A exceptional inconsistency within the recognized breakpoints (and therefore changes utilized) was revealed. Of the changes utilized for GHCN [Global Historical Climatology Network] Model 4, 64% (61% for Model 3) had been recognized on lower than 25% of runs, whereas solely 16% of the changes (21% for Model 3) had been recognized persistently for greater than 75% of the runs. The consistency of PHA [“Pairwise Homogenization Algorithm] changes improved when the breakpoints corresponded to documented station historical past metadata occasions. Nevertheless, solely 19% of the breakpoints (18% for Model 3) had been related to a documented occasion inside 1 yr, and 67% (69% for Model 3) weren’t related to any documented occasion. Due to this fact, whereas the PHA stays a useful gizmo in the neighborhood’s homogenization toolbox, most of the PHA changes utilized to the homogenized GHCN dataset might have been spurious.”

The International Historic Climatology Community is the duty of NOAA’s Nationwide Facilities for Environmental Data (NCEI).

Francis Menton describes the issue properly. He quotes NOAA and writes:

“’NOAAGlobalTempv5 is a reconstructed dataset, that means that the complete interval of file is recalculated every month with new knowledge. Based mostly on these new calculations, the brand new historic knowledge can result in updates to beforehand reported values. These elements, collectively, imply that calculations from the previous could also be outdated by the latest knowledge and might have an effect on the numbers reported within the month-to-month local weather stories.’ [Boldface in Menton.]

“Sure, ‘calculations from the previous could also be outdated by the latest knowledge.’ Huh?” This merely and plainly rewriting historical past and has completely no foundation in information.

Merely put, we don’t know the way good the info file is and haven’t any method of realizing. NOAA’s NCEI can’t be trusted with retaining data. See hyperlinks underneath Difficult the Orthodoxy and the Jan 29, 2022, TWTW.

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Biggest Drought? Nature Local weather Change printed a paper utilizing a brand new methodology for measuring drought, soil moisture deficit, which was used to say the US Southwest is experiencing the worst drought since 800 AD. Meteorologist Cliff Mass factors out that the length of the best drought is uncommon. The IPCC normally considers that for local weather change to take impact, it takes not less than 30 years, something much less can simply be a shift in climate. Mass writes:

“Now, I’m not slightly shocked that not one of the “curious” media stopped for a second and requested:  why did these researchers decide 22 years? Why not 25 years, 30 years, or 50 years?

“The reply is that their entire narrative, their entire declare of surprising drought, would have weakened vastly if that they had used 25 years or 30 years or something longer.”

“A NOAA web site simply got here up and utilizing it I’ve plotted the Palmer Drought Severity Index for the entire Southwest. I put a line on the yr 2000. You will note that the Williams et al research chosen the driest interval for evaluation, the optimally dry interval, with a a lot wetter interval previous. Such a fast transition shouldn’t be the anticipated affect of worldwide warming, which might have a tendency to alter temperature/moisture step by step.” [Boldface added]

Merely put, journalists who settle for what scientists say with out questioning and doing their very own analysis can mislead the general public. See hyperlinks underneath Defending the Orthodoxy and Defending the Orthodoxy – Bandwagon Science.

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Advantages of Carbon Dioxide: Matt Ridley has a superb essay on a number of the advantages of human emissions of carbon dioxide inflicting a modest warming. The advantages embody the overall greening of the Earth, as proven by NASA satellites, with new inexperienced leaves encompassing an space equal to a few Nice Britains every year. Additionally, there are far fewer deaths in Britain from excessive chilly, a larger killer than scorching climate. Globally, excessive climate deaths, warmth and chilly, are declining, daytime highs within the tropics are rising very slowly.

“Globally, deaths from droughts, floods and storms are down by about 98 per cent over the previous 100 years – not as a result of climate is much less harmful however as a result of shelter, transport and communication (that are principally the merchandise of the fossil-fuel financial system) have dramatically improved folks’s potential to outlive such pure disasters.”

Reasonably than condemning the fossil fuels industries, the Biden and different administrations in western nations must be thanking them. As an alternative, they’re doing no matter they will to break these industries and the economies of their nations. See hyperlinks underneath Social Advantages of Carbon Dioxide.

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Reality Sheet? Illustrating how divorced it’s from actuality the White Home produced a “truth sheet.” The highlights embody:

 “…main clear hydrogen initiatives…first-ever Purchase Clear Activity Drive…carbon-based commerce insurance policies to reward American producers of fresh metal and aluminum…steering on accountable deployment of Carbon Seize, Utilization, and Sequestration (CCUS) applied sciences…Initiative for Interdisciplinary Industrial Decarbonization Analysis…”

“$8 billion for Regional Clear Hydrogen Hubs…$1 billion for a Clear Hydrogen Electrolysis Program…$1 billion for a Clear Hydrogen Electrolysis Program…”

What stood out was:

“To additional assist DOE’s Hydrogen Shot to scale back the price of clear hydrogen by 80% to $1 for one kilogram in one-decade, final week DOE introduced $28 million for R&D and front-end engineering design initiatives to advance clear hydrogen in industrial makes use of, in addition to the transportation and electrical energy sectors.”

Apparently, the “specialists” behind the Hydrogen Shot don’t perceive that the Apollo “Moon Shot” required scientists and engineers to scrupulously check their ideas towards bodily proof, stable knowledge, not manipulated fluff which is used as knowledge at this time. The “truth sheet” is the stuff that pipedreams are made from. After all, some {industry} executives will take all they will get. See hyperlinks underneath Subsidies and Mandates Eternally.

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Variety of the Week: $1289/kWh v. $0.1059/kWh. Moss Touchdown, California, is the biggest battery storage facility within the US at 400MW/1,600MWh capability. A business facility, in keeping with its web site:

“As of February 2022, the typical storage system value in Moss Touchdown, CA is $1289/kWh. Given a storage system dimension of 13 kWh, a mean storage set up in Moss Touchdown, CA ranges in value from $14,246 to $19,274, with the typical gross worth for storage in Moss Touchdown, CA coming in at $16,760.”

In accordance with the newest figures from the US Vitality Data Administration (EIA), in 2020 the typical value of producing electrical energy within the US was $0.1059/kWh and California with excessive penetration of solar energy at $0.1800/kWh.

Those that discuss prices of photo voltaic and wind energy coming down by no means get round to speaking about prices of storage. Now we all know why. See hyperlinks underneath Different, Inexperienced (“Clear”) Vitality – Storage, https://www.eia.gov/electricity/state/, and https://www.energysage.com/local-data/energy-storage-cost/ca/monterey-county/moss-landing/#:~:text=Given%20a%20storage%20system%20size,CA%20coming%20in%20at%20%2416%2C760.]

Difficult the Orthodoxy — NIPCC

Local weather Change Reconsidered II: Bodily Science

Idso, Carter, and Singer, Lead Authors/Editors, Nongovernmental Worldwide Panel on Local weather Change (NIPCC), 2013

Abstract: https://www.heartland.org/_template-assets/documents/CCR/CCR-II/Summary-for-Policymakers.pdf

Local weather Change Reconsidered II: Organic Impacts

Idso, Idso, Carter, and Singer, Lead Authors/Editors, Nongovernmental Worldwide Panel on Local weather Change (NIPCC), 2014

http://climatechangereconsidered.org/climate-change-reconsidered-ii-biological-impacts/

Abstract: https://www.heartland.org/media-library/pdfs/CCR-IIb/Summary-for-Policymakers.pdf

Local weather Change Reconsidered II: Fossil Fuels

By A number of Authors, Bezdek, Idso, Legates, and Singer eds., Nongovernmental Worldwide Panel on Local weather Change, April 2019

http://store.heartland.org/shop/ccr-ii-fossil-fuels/

Obtain with no cost:

http://climatechangereconsidered.org/wp-content/uploads/2019/01/Climate-Change-Reconsidered-II-Fossil-Fuels-FULL-Volume-with-covers.pdf

Why Scientists Disagree About International Warming

The NIPCC Report on the Scientific Consensus

By Craig D. Idso, Robert M. Carter, and S. Fred Singer, Nongovernmental Worldwide Panel on Local weather Change (NIPCC), Nov 23, 2015

http://climatechangereconsidered.org/

Obtain with no cost:

https://www.heartland.org/policy-documents/why-scientists-disagree-about-global-warming

Nature, Not Human Exercise, Guidelines the Local weather

S. Fred Singer, Editor, NIPCC, 2008

http://www.sepp.org/publications/nipcc_final.pdf

International Sea-Stage Rise: An Analysis of the Knowledge

By Craig D. Idso, David Legates, and S. Fred Singer, Heartland Coverage Temporary, Could 20, 2019

Difficult the Orthodoxy

33 controversial conclusions about vitality, environmental, and local weather points

In Fossil Future, I take a look at the *full context* of information about vitality, atmosphere, and local weather from a *human flourishing perspective*. This results in some very controversial conclusions.

By Alex Epstein, His Weblog, Feb 4, 2022

https://alexepstein.substack.com/p/33-controversial-conclusions-from?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=e mail&utm_content=share&token=eyJ1c2VyX2lkIjo3MDk1MzEsIl8iOiJPMWE0ZiIsImlhdCI6MTY0NTAyNzAwNSwiZXhwIjoxNjQ1MDMwNjA1LCJpc3MiOiJwdWItNTEzNjAxIiwic3ViIjoicG9zdC1yZWFjdGlvbiJ9.3IYHtIKcLFG1s-0u06T0M6FA4l1cqJ20LJ8eLenjtZw&r=f7h7

The Biggest Scientific Fraud Of All Time — Half XXIX

By Francis Menton, Manhattan Contrarian, Feb 18, 2022

https://www.manhattancontrarian.com/weblog/2022-2-18-the-greatest-scientific-fraud-of-all-time-part-xxix

Hyperlink to paper: Analysis of the Homogenization Changes Utilized to European Temperature Data within the International Historic Climatology Community Dataset

By Peter O’Neill, et al. Environment, Feb 8, 2022

https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4433/13/2/285

Rising Chilly Extremes Worldwide: Is International Cooling on the way in which?

By Madhav Khandekar, Ray Garnett, Frontier Centre for Public Coverage, Feb 11, 2022 [H/t ICECAP]

West megadrought worsens to driest in not less than 1,200 years

By Employees, ICECAP, Feb 16, 2022

http://icecap.us/index.php/go/joes-blog/west_megadrought_worsens_to_driest_in_at_least_1200_years1/

Hyperlink to Distinctive Years: A Historical past of California Floods and Drought

By J.M. Guinn, The Historic Society of Southern California, 1890

Sorry, New York Occasions and NPR, Megadroughts Have Been Far, Far, Worse Than At present

By Anthony Watts, Local weather Realism, Feb 15, 2022

Tons of Extra Papers Printed In 2021 Assist A Skeptical Place On Local weather Alarm

By Kenneth Richard, No Methods Zone, Feb 14, 2022

Most important Purpose Behind Europe’s “Vitality Worth Explosion” Is Inexperienced Coverage In Europe And Germany

The foremost cause for Europe’s vitality worth explosion is inexperienced coverage in Europe and Germany

By Prof. Fritz Vahrenholt (Textual content translated/edited by P. Gosselin), Through No Methods Zone, Feb 16, 2022

“However the grand finale is but to return as a result of now fertilizer costs are additionally rising and with them meals costs. The outlawing of oil and fuel exploration by the listed western oil firms from Shell to BP by means of inexperienced tips from traders will proceed to drive up oil and fuel costs, but additionally wheat and soy costs worldwide. Solely China, Russia and the Arab oil firms will revenue from this.”

[SEPP Comment: Price of nitrogen fertilizer is 3 times what it was in 2020.]

Defending the Orthodoxy

Is the Southwest U.S. Experiencing a Megadrought Fueled by International Warming?

By Cliff Mass, Climate Weblog, Feb 17, 2022

https://cliffmass.blogspot.com/2022/02/is-southwest-us-experiencing.html

Hyperlink to paper: Speedy intensification of the rising southwestern North American megadrought in 2020–2021

By Williams, Prepare dinner & Smerdon, Nature Local weather Change Feb 14, 2022

https://www.nature.com/articles/s41558-022-01290-z

Stakes ‘by no means been larger’ in local weather struggle: IPCC head

By Marlowe Hood, Paris (AFP) Feb 14, 2022

https://www.terradaily.com/stories/Stakes_never_been_higher_in_climate_fight_IPCC_head_999.html

Nations to evaluation harrowing catalogue of local weather impacts

By Marlowe Hood, Paris (AFP) Feb 14, 2022

https://www.terradaily.com/stories/Nations_to_review_harrowing_catalogue_of_climate_impacts_999.html

Scientists and governments meet to finalise UN report on ‘nightmare’ impacts of worldwide warming

By Seth Borenstein and Frank Jordans, EuroNews.inexperienced, Feb 14, 2022 [H/t Dennis Ambler]

https://www.euronews.com/inexperienced/2022/02/14/scientists-and-governments-meet-to-finalise-un-report-on-nightmare-impacts-of-global-warmi

Defending the Orthodoxy – Bandwagon Science

Local weather-boosted drought in western US worst in 1,200 years

By Marlowe Hood, Paris (AFP) Feb 14, 2022

https://www.terradaily.com/stories/Local weather-boosted_drought_in_western_US_worst_in_1200_years_999.html

UCLA’s Hypothetical Droughts

By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Feb 15, 2022

“Man with laptop mannequin says:”

[SEPP Comment: See link immediately above.]

Questioning the Orthodoxy

Earlier than you save the planet, save the individuals who dwell on it

By Vijay Jayaraj, BizPac Assessment, Feb 12, 2022

https://www.bizpacreview.com/2022/02/12/before-you-save-the-planet-save-the-people-who-live-on-it-1200232/

The shortage of fireside subsequent time

By John Robson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, Feb 16, 2022

Vitality and Environmental Assessment: February 14, 2022

By John Droz, Jr., Grasp Useful resource, Feb 14, 2022

Change in US Administrations

The Canine Days of the Biden Administration

By Tony Thomas, Quadrant, Feb 15, 2022

Social Advantages of Carbon Dioxide

Why world warming is nice for us

Local weather change is making a greener, safer planet.

By Matt Ridley, Spiked, Feb 15, 2022 [H/t Ron Clutz]

CO2 Analogy to Tobacco: “Nonsense,” states James Hansen

By Robert Bradley Jr, Grasp Useful resource, Feb 18, 2022

Metropolis timber and soil are sucking extra carbon out of the ambiance than beforehand thought

Researchers discovered that timber and soils on the outermost fringe of forests might have a task in preventing local weather change—however the advantages won’t final

Press Launch, Boston College, Feb 16, 2022 [H/t WUWT]

https://www.eurekalert.org/news-releases/943755

Hyperlink to paper: Diverging patterns on the forest edge: Soil respiration dynamics of fragmented forests in city and rural areas

By Sarah M. Garvey, et al. International Change Biology, Feb 15, 2022

https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.16099

Issues within the Orthodoxy

Local weather Motion Faces Actuality Test In The Vitality Disaster

By Tsvetana Paraskova, Oil Worth.com, – Feb 15, 2022

https://oilprice.com/Vitality/Vitality-Basic/Local weather-Motion-Faces-Actuality-Test-In-The-Vitality-Disaster.html

Mannequin Points

Meandering Via A Local weather Muddle

By Willis Eschenbach, WUWT, Feb 18, 2022

“Backside line? The present crop of laptop local weather fashions are removed from being match for use to resolve public coverage. To confirm this, you solely want to take a look at the limitless string of dangerous, failed, crashed-and-burned predictions which have come from the fashions. Pay them no consideration. They aren’t “physics-based” besides within the Hollywood sense, and they’re removed from prepared for prime time. Their major use is so as to add false legitimacy to the unrealistic fears of the programmers.”

Measurement Points — Floor

The sunburnt winds up north: Fort Smith

By John Robson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, Feb 16, 2022

Measurement Points — Environment

Overheated Environment Replace

By Tony Heller, His Weblog, Feb 18, 2022

https://realclimatescience.com/2022/02/overheated-atmosphere-update-7/

Altering Climate

Eire, Sweden Present No January Warming Since 1988. Antarctic Sea Ice Extent Now Extra Than 40 Years Steady!

Charts by Kirye, Textual content by Pierre, No Methods Zone, Feb 15, 2022

“There’s been no sea ice extent pattern change [in Antarctica] since 1978, when satellite tv for pc measurement started.”

A brand new evaluation of maximum climate developments: hurricanes

By John Robson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, Feb 16, 2022

EPA Knowledge Reveals Climate Is Much less Excessive Now In The US

By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Feb 14, 2022

Blaming Their Incompetence On Local weather Change

By Tony Heller, His Weblog, Feb 17, 2022

https://realclimatescience.com/2022/02/blaming-their-incompetence-on-climate-change/

[SEPP Comment: Variation in Great Lakes ice cover is not annual decline!]

Storm Eunice

By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Feb 17, 2022

“One of many saddest issues in regards to the Met Workplace’s dedication to provide each storm that passes our method a foolish title is that it detracts from the actually memorable occasions.

“In twenty years’ time, who will bear in mind Eunice? It would simply be one other in a protracted line of run of the mill storms. Against this, the Burns Day storm or the Nice Storm of 1987 will rightly be remembered for a few years to return, exactly as a result of they had been extraordinary and had been rightly named as such on the time.”

[SEPP Comment; The same can be said for modern NOAA, that is destroying the superb reputation built earlier.]

Storm Eunice Replace

By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Feb 18, 2022

“The Needles are a spectacular limestone formation positioned on the finish of  peninsula protruding into the ocean. The climate station is on the Previous Battery, 80m above sea degree on the high of the cliff overlooking the rocks beneath:

“Wind speeds there haven’t any relevance in any respect to what’s occurring in the remainder of the nation. Furthermore, the Met Workplace have solely been measuring wind speeds there for a number of years, which is why the Needles by no means used to look of their climate stories. (I’ve requested the Met Workplace for the date it began. They do present wind speeds there for 1998, nevertheless it actually was not talked about within the Burns Day storm).”

Altering Local weather

New Examine: In Northern Poland The Medieval Heat Interval Was 3°C Hotter Than At present

By Kenneth Richard, No Methods Zone, Feb 17, 2022

Hyperlink to paper: The late-Holocene relationship between peatland water desk depth and summer season temperature in northern Poland

By Krzysztof Pleskot, et al. Palaeogeography, Palaeoclimatology, Palaeoecology, Jan 15, 2022

https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0031018221005435

Altering Local weather – Cultures & Civilizations

Change In The Local weather Of Nice Britain [and Greenland]

By Tony Heller, His Weblog, Feb 17, 2022

https://realclimatescience.com/2022/02/change-in-the-climate-of-great-britain/

Misplaced Viking ‘freeway’ revealed by melting ice

1,000-year-old horseshoes, sleds, and instruments are rising from a shrinking ice patch in Norway, telling the story of the rise and fall of a mountain go and the individuals who traveled alongside it.

By Erin Blakemore, Nationwide Geographic, Apr 15, 2020

https://www.nationalgeographic.com/historical past/article/lost-viking-highway-revealed-melting-ice

[SEPP Comment: It never occurs to the journalists that if climate has been stable for 2000 years, as claimed by the IPCC, how did these items get there?]

Altering Seas

U.S. Might See a Century’s Price of Sea Stage Rise in Simply 30 Years

By Seth Borenstein, AP, Feb 2022 [H/t Bernie Kepshire]

https://time.com/6148410/noaa-us-sea-level-rise/

Hyperlink to Nationwide Ocean Service podcast and textual content: 2022 Sea Stage Rise Technical Report

By Mark Osler, NOAA’s Senior Advisor for Coastal Inundation and Resilience, and William Candy, an oceanographer and scientist, NOAA, 2022

https://oceanservice.noaa.gov/podcast/feb22/nop52-sea-level-rise.html

[SEPP Comment: If you believe that melting ice causes seas to rise differently in different parts of the US.]

NOAA Ocean Service: 2022 The Subsequent 30 Years of Sea Stage Rise – junk science

By Joseph D’Aleo, CCM, ICECAP, Feb 17, 2022

http://icecap.us/index.php/go/new-and-cool/noaa_ocean_service_2022_the_next_30_years_of_sea_level_rise_junk_science/

Sea degree projected to rise a foot on US coasts by 2050

By Zack Budryk, The Hill, Feb 15, 2022

https://thehill.com/coverage/energy-environment/594344-sea-level-projected-to-rise-a-foot-on-us-coasts-by-2050

Hyperlink to report: U.S. shoreline to see as much as a foot of sea degree rise by 2050: Report initiatives a century of sea degree rise in 30 years

By Employees, NOAA, Feb 15, 2022

https://www.noaa.gov/news-release/us-coastline-to-see-up-to-foot-of-sea-level-rise-by-2050

See hyperlink instantly above.

Sorry CNN, No matter Human Exercise, Coastlines Develop and Retreat

By Linnea Lueken, Local weather Realism, Feb 11, 2022

[SEPP Comment: Graph shows the approximate US east coastline 20,000 years ago and landward limit over the past 5 million years.]

The Brazil resort city disappearing into the ocean

By Eugenia Logiuratto, Atafona, Brazil (AFP) Feb 14, 2022

https://www.terradaily.com/stories/The_Brazil_resort_town_disappearing_into_the_sea_999.html

[SEPP Comment: See links above for changing US Atlantic coastline, which applies to Brazil as well.]

Agriculture Points & Worry of Famine

The Warfare On Meals

By Tony Heller, His Weblog, Feb 18, 2022

https://realclimatescience.com/2022/02/the-war-on-food/

[SEPP Comment: Podcast exposing the fake news of agriculture adversely affecting climate including confusing nitrogen (N2) with nitrous oxide, (N2O)]

Reducing Requirements

The ice cracks

By John Robson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, Feb 16, 2022

Speaking Higher to the Public – Use Yellow (Inexperienced) Journalism?

AP Take The Local weather Bribe!

By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Feb 15, 2022

“Nicely not less than they’re sincere!”

“This far-reaching initiative will rework how we cowl the local weather story,” Tempo stated.

The grant is for greater than $8 million over three years, and about 20 of the local weather journalists shall be new hires. The AP has appointed Peter Prengaman as its local weather and atmosphere information director to steer the crew.

5 organizations are contributing to the hassle: the William and Flora Hewlett Basis, the Howard Hughes Medical Institute, Quadrivium, the Rockefeller Basis and the Walton Household Basis.

It’s the latest of a sequence of grants the AP has acquired for the reason that mid-2010s to spice up protection in well being and science, faith, water points and philanthropy itself. Some 50 AP journalists have jobs funded by means of grants.

CBS’s 60 Minutes Uncorks an Previous Wine Story, Falsely Claiming Local weather Change Is Inflicting a Wine Apocalypse, Once more!

By H. Sterling Burnett, Local weather Realism, Feb 15, 2022

And nice was the autumn of it

By John Robson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, Feb 16, 2022

[SEPP Comment: Beach erosion in the Outer Banks of North Carolina has been a problem for decades. The sands that make up the barrier islands appear and disappear. The press doesn’t bother with history.]

Speaking Higher to the Public – Exaggerate, or be Obscure?

Dessler on Koonin: Cancel Tradition at Work

By Robert Bradley Jr., Grasp Useful resource, Feb 17, 2022

How the fossil gasoline {industry} is pushing plastics on the world

By Katie Brigham, CNBC, Feb 1, 2022

https://www.cnbc.com/2022/01/29/how-the-fossil-fuel-industry-is-pushing-plastics-on-the-world-.html

[SEPP Comment: How is the rest of the world  forced to buy it?]

Nighttime wildfires rising in frequency, depth: research

By Sharon Udasin, The Hill, Feb 16, 2022

https://thehill.com/coverage/equilibrium-sustainability/594521-nighttime-wildfires-growing-in-frequency-intensity-study

Hyperlink to paper: Warming weakens the night-time barrier to world hearth

By Jennifer Balch, et al.  Nature, Feb 16, 2022

https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-021-04325-1

“Globally, night time fires have turn into 7.2 per cent extra intense from 2003 to 2020, measured by way of a satellite tv for pc file.”

[SEPP Comment: Exactly how is it measured?]

Speaking Higher to the Public – Make issues up.

British colonisation of Australia 250 years in the past responsible for latest wildfires

By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Feb 18, 2022

[SEPP Comment: Does it apply to other parts of the world such as the wildfires in California?]

Zac’s tall tales [MP Zac Goldsmith]

By Employees, Web Zero Watch, Feb 14, 2022

“So even when Goldsmith is true (he isn’t), we’d solely be speaking about 150 pads, occupying 1000 acres. Evaluate this to the minister’s enthusiasm for taking 150,000 acres out of agricultural manufacturing to cowl it in photo voltaic panels.”

Speaking Higher to the Public – Use Propaganda

BBC Local weather Test–Jan 2022

By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Feb 17, 2022

“Ben Wealthy does his regular job of presenting a number of assorted dangerous climate occasions, claiming that they’re one way or the other tied into local weather change, however with out offering the slightest proof.

He finishes:

“’And 2022 has already seen extremes of climate across the globe, that are more likely to turn into extra frequent because the world continues to heat’

“It’s time this propaganda was taken off air.”

Speaking Higher to the Public – Use Propaganda on Youngsters

Web Zero Watch welcomes new steering on impartiality in faculties and can monitor compliance

By Employees, Web Zero Watch, Feb 18, 2022

UK College Bans Meat Merchandise As a result of Local weather Change

By Eric Worrall, WUWT, Feb 15, 2022

Speaking Higher to the Public – Protest

David Attenborough and his ‘Nice Reset’ WEF cronies hit a giant Canadian roadblock

By Susan Crockford, Polar Bear Science, Feb 17, 2022

Tamara Lich, I’m Not Afraid

By Jennifer Marohasy, Her Weblog, Feb 19, 2022

Rock Star Truckers

Members of the general public are showering the truckers with thanks. And with meals, gasoline, and money.

By Donna Laframboise, Large Image Information, Feb 14, 2022

Trudeau declares all Truckers, Donors and honkers are terrorists, seize their financial institution accounts

By Jo Nova, Her Weblog, Feb 15, 2022

Increasing the Orthodoxy

German authorities picks Greenpeace chief, a US citizen, as its new local weather envoy

By Ivana Kottasová, CNN, Feb 9, 2022

https://www.cnn.com/2022/02/09/europe/jennifer-morgan-greenpeace-german-climate-envoy-intl/index.html

“The local weather disaster was a serious matter through the election marketing campaign final yr, partly as a result of the nation skilled lethal floods, which scientists described as a one-in-500-year climate occasion.”

[SEPP Comment: Yet flood records show similar or worse floods occurred in 1910 and 1804]

Methane within the dock

By John Robson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, Feb 16, 2022

Questioning European Inexperienced

As Germany’s Inexperienced Dream Turns into A Nightmare, Asia And Russia Energy Forward With Nuclear Energy

Asia goes nuclear whereas Europe goes bust

By Fred F. Mueller, No Methods Zone, Feb 13, 2022

Easy methods to Remedy Europe’s Vitality Disaster

By Sam Buchan, Actual Clear Vitality, Feb 14, 2022

https://www.realclearenergy.org/articles/2022/02/14/how_to_solve_europes_energy_crisis_816686.html

Can they hold the lights on? Vitality costs rise throughout Europe.

As vitality costs soar throughout Europe, households are feeling the squeeze and small companies are struggling to remain open. In Turkey, the place rising vitality prices are compounded by a drop in forex worth, upset over electrical energy costs has erupted into protests.

By Ayse Wieting and Suzan Fraser Related Press, Feb 11, 2022

https://www.csmonitor.com/World/Europe/2022/0211/Can-they-keep-the-lights-on-Vitality-prices-rise-across-Europe?icid=rss

Questioning Inexperienced Elsewhere

Inexperienced hypocrisy hurts the poorest

The West’s conflict on vitality is crippling Africa

By Joel Kotkin and Hugo Kruger, UnHerd, Feb 14, 2022

https://unherd.com/2022/02/green-hypocrisy-hurts-the-poorest/

The West’s Local weather Insurance policies Invite Third World Situations

By Vijay Jayaraj, Actual Clear Vitality, Feb 14, 2022

https://www.realclearenergy.org/articles/2022/02/14/the_wests_climate_policies_invite_third_world_conditions_816706.html

How US insurance policies contribute to excessive vitality costs

By Jeffrey Kupfer, The Hill, Feb 15, 2022

https://thehill.com/opinion/energy-environment/594324-how-us-policies-contribute-to-high-energy-prices?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=twitter

Inexperienced Jobs

Shifting Pure Fuel and Oil Jobs to the Renewables Sector Isn’t So Easy

By Stephanie Catarino Wissman, Actual Clear Vitality, Feb 16, 2021

https://www.realclearenergy.org/articles/2022/02/16/shifting_natural_gas_and_oil_jobs_to_the_renewables_sector_isnt_that_simple_817129.html

Funding Points

ESG And The Harmful Structural Improve In The Worth Of Oil

By Jude Clemente, Forbes, Feb 13, 2022

https://www.forbes.com/websites/judeclemente/2022/02/13/esg-and-the-dangerous-structural-increase-in-the-price-of-oil/?sh=1a17dcf1757b

Litigation Points

Federal District Court docket Enjoins Use Of The “Social Price Of Carbon”

By Francis Menton, Manhattan Contrarian, Feb 13, 2022

https://www.manhattancontrarian.com/weblog/2022-2-13-federal-district-court-enjoins-use-of-the-social-cost-of-carbon

Cap-and-Commerce and Carbon Taxes

Conservatives Ought to Get on Board With Carbon Pricing

By Kelsey Grant, Actual Clear Vitality, Feb 14, 2022

https://www.realclearenergy.org/articles/2022/02/14/conservatives_should_get_on_board_with_carbon_pricing_816713.html

“One of the best counterpoint to any dangerous thought is a greater one.”

[SEPP Comment: The best counterpoint to a destructive tax is a less destructive one?]

Subsidies and Mandates Eternally

Biden administration proclaims inexperienced manufacturing push

By Rachel Frazin, The Hill, Feb 15, 2022

https://thehill.com/coverage/energy-environment/594217-biden-administration-announces-green-manufacturing-push

Hyperlink to “Reality Sheet: Biden-⁠Harris Administration Advances Cleaner Industrial Sector to Cut back Emissions and Reinvigorate American Manufacturing”

By Employees, The White Home, Feb 15, 2022

https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/statements-releases/2022/02/15/fact-sheet-biden-harris-administration-advances-cleaner-industrial-sector-to-reduce-emissions-and-reinvigorate-american-manufacturing/

What one utility CEO stated after Biden left the room

By Maxine Joselow, Vanessa Montalbano, MSN, Feb 12, 2022

https://www.msn.com/en-us/information/politics/what-one-utility-ceo-said-after-biden-left-the-room/ar-AATH9ZN

[SEPP Comment: More special tax breaks and subsidies for unreliable electricity!]

EPA and different Regulators on the March

Testimony Earlier than The Feb. 25, 2022 Assembly Of The Clear Air Scientific Advisory Committee

To debate the Draft CASAC Report on EPA’s Draft Complement to the 2019 Built-in Science Evaluation (ISA) for PM and the Draft CASAC Report on EPA’s Draft PM Coverage Evaluation (PA).

By Tom Golab, ACSH, Feb 15, 2022

https://www.acsh.org/information/2022/02/15/testimony-feb-25-2022-meeting-clean-air-scientific-advisory-committee-16132

Vitality Points – Non-US

Britain wants shale fuel now. For shoppers and for nationwide safety

Press Launch, Web Zero Watch, Feb 14, 2022

Hyperlink to paper: Restarting UK Shale Fuel

By Tim Worstall, Web Zero Watch, 1922

Amid vitality disaster, UK Authorities makes use of Regulatory Dying Curse on fuel {industry}

By Jo Nova, Her Weblog, Feb 14, 2022

Rachel Millard’s Puff Piece For Octopus Vitality

By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Feb 18, 2022

“It’s usually accepted that warmth pumps must be run all day to maintain warmth as much as an inexpensive degree, so the concept you simply flip them on at night time is absurd. In case you do, your home can be stone chilly all day.

“However does their Agile Tariff even get monetary savings even then? Not in keeping with their Octopus’ personal knowledge.”

Vitality Points — US

Electrical energy Consumption Will Develop Once more

By Donn Dears, Energy For USA, Feb 15, 2022

Washington’s Management of Vitality

Fuel pipeline regulators to contemplate local weather impacts for brand spanking new initiatives

By Rachel Frazin, The Hill, Feb 17, 2022

https://thehill.com/coverage/energy-environment/594832-gas-pipeline-regulators-to-consider-climate-impacts-for-new

New Faces on a Important Nationwide Fee Might Assist Velocity a Clear Vitality Transition

With two Biden strikes, the Federal Vitality Regulatory Fee is extra more likely to favor Democrats, who need it to answer the booming demand for renewable vitality.

By James Bruggers, Inside Local weather Information, Feb 15, 2022

[SEPP Comment: Towards more energy poverty!]

Oil and Pure Fuel – the Future or the Previous?

Canadian Oil Exports To U.S. At Report Stage

By Charles Kennedy, Oil Worth.com, Feb 11, 2022

https://oilprice.com/Vitality/Vitality-Basic/Canadian-Oil-Exports-To-US-At-Report-Stage.html

Cited report: Canadian oil barrels head out of the U.S. Gulf in file numbers

By Stephanie Kelly and Nia Williams, Reuters, Feb 11, 2022

https://www.reuters.com/enterprise/vitality/canadian-oil-barrels-head-out-us-gulf-record-numbers-2022-02-11/

US pure fuel producer says costs are surging attributable to lack of ample pipeline construction

EQT CEO Toby Rice reveals canceled pipeline initiatives have restricted 10% of US nat fuel

By Angelica Stabile, FOX Enterprise, Feb 15, 2022

https://www.foxbusiness.com/markets/us-natural-gas-producer-says-prices-surging-due-to-lack-of-adequate-pipeline-structure

“Sen. Elizabeth Warren, D-Mass., alongside different Democratic lawmakers, have lately known as on the Division of Vitality to chop exports of liquefied pure fuel in an try and calm pricing.”

[SEPP Comment: An example of Washington thinking. Blame the problems Washington causes on those who try to solve them.]

Return of King Coal?

China places coal crops at full capability, even because it touts internet hosting a ‘inexperienced’ Olympics

By Invoice Chappell, NPR, Feb 26, 2022

https://www.npr.org/2022/02/16/1081141189/china-coal-olympics-environment

Nuclear Vitality and Fears

Within the midst of an vitality disaster the federal government drags its heels on nuclear – once more

By John Constable, Web Zero Watch, Feb 17, 2022

The International Vitality Coverage Drawback No One Desires To Acknowledge

By Haley Zaremba, Oil Worth.com, Feb 13, 2022

https://oilprice.com/Different-Vitality/Nuclear-Energy/The-International-Vitality-Coverage-Drawback-No-One-Desires-To-Acknowledge.html

[SEPP Comment: Nuclear waste, another problem so overblown that solution becomes impossible?]

Different, Inexperienced (“Clear”) Photo voltaic and Wind

Gargantuan photo voltaic farms threaten UK farming and meals safety

Press Launch, Web Zero Watch, Feb 13, 2022

Hyperlink to paper: Photo voltaic Vitality and the Risk to Meals Safety

By John Constable, Web Zero Watch, 2022

“The photo voltaic {industry} has lately (January 2022) disclosed that it believes there’s some 37GW of photo voltaic capability in numerous levels of planning, which might entail an approximate land take of 150,000 acres.”

Photo voltaic-powered system gives a path to cheap desalination

Passive photo voltaic evaporation system may very well be used to scrub wastewater, present potable water, or sterilize medical instruments in off-grid areas.

By David L. Chandler, MIT Information, Feb 14, 2022 [H/t Bernie Kepshire]

https://information.mit.edu/2022/solar-desalination-system-inexpensive-0214

Hyperlink to paper: Extremely environment friendly and salt rejecting photo voltaic evaporation by way of a wick-free confined water layer

By Lenan Zhang, et al. Nature Communications, Feb 14, 2022

https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-022-28457-8

Different, Inexperienced (“Clear”) Vitality — Different

U.S. corn-based ethanol worse for the local weather than gasoline, research finds

By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Feb 17, 2022

Hyperlink to analysis article: Environmental outcomes of the US Renewable Gas Customary

By Tyler J. Lark, et al. PNAS, March 1, 2022

https://www.pnas.org/content material/119/9/e2101084119

From the summary: ‘These modifications elevated annual nationwide fertilizer use by 3 to eight%, elevated water high quality degradants by 3 to five%, and brought about sufficient home land use change emissions such that the carbon depth of corn ethanol produced underneath the RFS is a minimum of gasoline and sure not less than 24% larger.’

From Homewood: “Naturally the renewable foyer are eager to garbage the research, and it might be that the reality lies someplace between the brand new claims and the USDA research.

“Both method it’s now apparent that if there are any financial savings in emissions, they’re tiny.

“What I discover significantly compelling in regards to the new evaluation is its supply, the College of Wisconsin-Madison Heart for Sustainability and the International Surroundings, somewhat than a oil {industry} funded suppose tank. You may suppose they might be firmly anti fossil-fuel.

“With the EU persevering with to mandate larger proportions of ethanol within the gasoline combine, it’s absolutely time to name a halt on this large coverage error, and begin to reduce on ethanol use.”

Different, Inexperienced (“Clear”) Vitality — Storage

One other Grid Scale Battery Hearth “Incident”

By Eric Worrall, WUWT, Feb 17, 2022

Different, Inexperienced (“Clear”) Automobiles

Pay-per-mile highway charging ‘threatens electrical automobile gross sales’

By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Feb 18, 2022

“There may be additionally the final word irony right here. If the federal government is profitable in decreasing automobile use, as they’ve already formally acknowledged, how will they exchange the misplaced income? By placing up highway prices much more?

“As with a lot about Web Zero, we’re solely simply starting to be taught in regards to the very actual obstacles on the highway.”

Delivery Information

By Kip Hansen, WUWT, Feb 18, 2022

[SEPP Comment: Another question: what started the fire? Electric vehicle batteries?]

California Dreaming

“‘Gas of the Yr’ Syndrome:” Methanol in California Revisited

By Robert Bradley Jr., Grasp Useful resource, Feb 15, 2022

BELOW THE BOTTOM LINE

Hotspots make clear ‘flash drought’ causes

Work may lay the groundwork for predicting flash droughts

Press Launch, NSF, Feb 15, 2022

https://www.nsf.gov/discoveries/disc_summ.jsp?WT.mc_id=USNSF_1&cntn_id=304458&utm_medium=e mail&utm_source=govdelivery

[SEPP Comment: Watch out for one hour flash droughts!]

Oh that’s authentic

By John Robson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, Feb 16, 2022

[SEPP Comment: “Conservatives” rallying around a white flag?]

ARTICLES

1. Greenland’s Melting Ice Is No Trigger for Local weather-Change Panic

The annual loss has been lowering up to now decade even because the globe continues to heat.

By Steven E. Koonin, WSJ, Feb. 17, 2022

https://www.wsj.com/articles/greenland-melting-ice-panic-sheets-global-warming-variance-seal-level-rise-climate-change-carbon-fossil-fuel-11645131739?mod=opinion_lead_pos6

TWTW Abstract: The professor at New York College begins :

“One of the crucial sacred tenets of local weather alarmism is that Greenland’s huge ice sheet is shrinking ever extra quickly due to human-induced local weather change. The media and politicians warn continuously of rising sea ranges that may swamp coastlines from Florida to Bangladesh. A typical headline: “Greenland ice sheet on track to lose ice at quickest price in 12,000 years.”

With an space of 660,000 sq. miles and a thickness as much as 1.9 miles, Greenland’s ice sheet actually deserves consideration. Its shrinking has been a serious explanation for latest sea-level rise, however as is commonly the case in local weather science, the info inform fairly a unique story from the media protection and the political laments.

The chart close by [not shown here] paints a much bigger image that’s well-known to specialists however largely absent from the media and even from the latest United Nations local weather report. It exhibits the quantity of ice that Greenland has misplaced yearly since 1900, averaged over 10-year intervals; the annual loss averages about 110 gigatons. (A gigaton is one billion metric tons, or barely over 2.2 trillion kilos.) That may be a lot, however that water has brought about the planet’s oceans to rise every year by solely 0.01 inch, about one-fifth the thickness of a dime.

After discussing alarming projections by the IPCC and different, the article concludes:

“Whereas a warming globe may ultimately be the dominant explanation for Greenland’s shrinking ice, pure cycles in temperatures and currents within the North Atlantic that stretch for many years have been a way more essential affect since 1900. These cycles, along with the latest slowdown, make it believable that the following few a long time will see an extra, maybe dramatic slowing of ice loss. That will be inconsistent with the IPCC’s projection and wouldn’t in any respect assist the media’s exaggerations.

“A lot local weather reporting at this time highlights short-term modifications after they match the narrative of a damaged local weather however then ignores or performs down modifications after they don’t, typically dismissing them as ‘simply climate.’

“Local weather unfolds over a long time. Though short-term modifications is perhaps deemed information, they must be thought-about in a many-decade context. Media protection omitting that context misleadingly raises alarm. Greenland’s shrinking ice is a first-rate instance of that follow.

“If Greenland’s ice loss continues to gradual, headline writers must discover another side of Greenland’s modifications to seize our consideration, and politicians will certainly discover another cause to justify their favourite local weather insurance policies.”

*****************

2. Europe’s Web-Zero Carbon Crackup Begins Forward of Schedule

Politicians all over the place will rue the day they tried to enlist monetary markets to do their inexperienced bidding.

By Joseph C. Sternberg, WSJ, Feb. 10, 2022

https://www.wsj.com/articles/europe-net-zero-crackup-climate-change-natural-gas-nuclear-prices-boris-johnson-esg-sunak-european-commission-green-energy-11644509997?mod=opinion_featst_pos3

TWTW Abstract: The journalist begins:

“On the finish of final yr, I predicted that 2022 can be the yr politicians stepped again from the climate-policy cliff. I allowed an excessive amount of time. It occurred in January.

“Or somewhat, January was the month the political class determined they needed to step away from the cliff. Now we wait to see if they will.

“The European Fee, the bureaucratic wing of the European Union in Brussels, moved on New Yr’s Eve to categorise pure fuel and nuclear as potential inexperienced vitality sources in a ‘taxonomy’ designed to steer authorities spending and personal funding. It has caught by that call regardless of noisy protests from environmentalists. This can be a recognition that foreclosing funding in confirmed, dependable applied sciences amid a once-in-a-generation vitality worth disaster is making a political nightmare.

“In the meantime, British Prime Minister Boris Johnson’s net-zero fixation has turn into the most important risk to his political future, a much more severe hazard than any lockdown-defying birthday celebration. British households final week found their dwelling electrical energy and natural-gas payments may shoot up by 54% come April as a regulatory worth cap adjusts to market realities. Vitality prices for business premises are a separate disaster, as quickly escalating electrical energy and natural-gas costs squeeze small companies and huge producers alike.

“Actual politics lastly is breaking out in response. A bunch of lawmakers from Mr. Johnson’s Conservative Celebration have fashioned a caucus to vent their skepticism of Mr. Johnson’s net-zero ambitions, whereas Chancellor of the Exchequer Rishi Sunak professes his enthusiasm for extra North Sea drilling. The left-wing Guardian newspaper trotted out climate-change scaremonger Michael Mann to model this effort a ‘tradition conflict.’ Which is how we now describe any effort to repoliticize questions of financial and social trade-offs that an axis of technocrats, activists and media had tried to imagine unto itself.”

The creator discusses that fossil fuels are low-cost in comparison with alternate options earlier than concluding:

“That is taking two varieties at this time. Astronomical vitality costs are the mechanism by which consumption based mostly on carbon (whether or not of vitality or of any product whose manufacture or distribution requires carbon—which is most merchandise) will be suppressed whereas diverting sources to analysis and improvement in inexperienced applied sciences. Second, somebody should induce monetary funding to shift to inexperienced functions, even when traders in any other case would have concluded that technique doesn’t maximize returns. Retirees or anybody else whose consumption relies on revenue from funding might must obtain much less revenue and subsequently eat much less with a view to subsidize capital allocation to inexperienced ends.

“No marvel politicians are fleeing. Witness a kerfuffle, once more within the U.Ok., over taxing the “windfall earnings” of oil-and-gas majors comparable to BP and Shell, which lately introduced bumper earnings. The businesses are accused of gouging shoppers, however the precise plan as introduced to their shareholders is to plow carbon earnings into an increasing portfolio of inexperienced initiatives.

“That is potential solely by shifting sources away from shoppers by way of larger costs. Whoops. Any type of consumption tax, whether or not by levy or by price-raising regulation, is very regressive. Calls by Britain’s Labour Celebration for a windfall-profits tax to redistribute these reinvestable earnings again to shoppers, in contravention of the entire level of net-zero insurance policies, mark an admission that local weather mitigation is an impending political prepare wreck. Possibly at some point the left will perceive what they themselves are saying right here.

Can the prepare be stopped? Politicians will attempt, and are attributable to get a reminder in regards to the significance of long-term pondering. Boosting vitality provide will depend on persuading traders that politicians assist long-term investments. Web zero comes with a deadline of 2050, however that must be scrapped proper now for traders to be keen to finance capital-intensive initiatives with lengthy sufficient lives to be helpful.

“The hazard is that traders received’t be keen to try this when politicians belatedly come begging. Current years have seen a concerted effort by local weather activists and numerous enthusiastic enablers within the monetary world to co-opt personal capital in pursuit of inexperienced goals. Therefore the rise of so-called ESG investing—the E standing for “environmental.” Politicians of their extra silly moments have been glad to assist, as with efforts to embed such rules in monetary regulation.

“The political class shall be sorry as this shift makes it tougher for politicians to assuage indignant voters. The EU’s taxonomy is supposed to subvert the ESG push by encouraging traders to deal with pure fuel and nuclear as inexperienced. Buyers intoxicated by their very own advantage signaling won’t be encourageable. “Buyers might now want to contemplate going additional than the taxonomy requires with a view to align with internet zero,” Stephanie Pfeifer of the Institutional Buyers Group for Local weather Change, an umbrella group for pension funds and different asset managers, stated lately.

“The politicians’ problem is to wrest well-functioning vitality and monetary markets again from a monetary, activist and media class that appears unshaken by the anticonsumption, income-redistribution miseries their agenda is inflicting. Tradition conflict, certainly.”

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